MELI Stock Price Forecast 2026 to 2030: Should you invest now?

New York, 21 December 2025: MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) is a leading e-commerce and fintech company in Latin America, listed on NASDAQ. It offers services similar to Amazon, but mainly operates in Brazil, Argentina, Mexico and other Latin American countries. In this article, we will look at the price forecasts of MELI stock from 2026 to 2030, covering predictions from US stock market analysts, the company’s pros and cons, company plans, overall returns for investors, and the impact of US government policies on the company’s products or services. This analysis is based on various reliable sources.

Pros and cons of MercadoLibre Inc.

Pros

• Market leadership and sustainable competitive advantages: The company is leading in e-commerce and fintech in Latin America, with a strong network, brand, and ecosystem.
• Attractive valuation: The stock trades at 16x trailing free cash flow, which is a good opportunity for long-term investment. Cheaper and more valuable than Amazon.
• Growth potential: The company’s profit and revenue are rising, with long-term adoption opportunities.
• Strong rating: “Buy” rating and room for long-term growth.

Cons

• Volatility and risk: The stock is as volatile as high-growth tech names. There’s a risk of political instability, currency fluctuations, and rising shipping costs.
• Profit is going down: Shipping and logistics costs are cutting into the profit.
• High valuation: Sometimes trading at 40x earnings, which is risky.
• Political and business risks: A new government or business policies could affect the company.

Plans of MercadoLibre Inc. company

MercadoLibre’s plans are focused on expansion and innovation. In 2025, the company announced plans to invest $3.4 billion in Mexico, which includes hiring 10,000 new employees in logistics, fintech and administration. The company achieved $7.4 billion in net revenue in Q3 2025, showing a 30% YoY growth.

In the future, the company will expand e-commerce in Latin America by launching grocery and white-label logistics services. Through the ‘Attach Strategy’, complementing products and services will be added to the existing base. With only 15% of retail sales online in Latin America, there is a huge opportunity for expansion. By 2026, revenue is expected to grow by over 30%, but profit growth will be slower. The company’s goal is to democratize commerce and financial services through e-commerce and fintech.

The total return MercadoLibre Inc. gave to investors

MercadoLibre has given investors strong returns. Over the past 5 years, shareholder returns are like the Magnificent 7. In the last 12 months, the return was 19.91%, this year 17.48%, and over 5 years 17.65%. Annual returns: +188.96% in 2020, +90.94% in 2019, +97.81% in 2017.

An investment of $1,000 in 2007 would have grown to $71,334 today, showing a 71-fold increase and a 26.85% compound annual growth. The current ROE is 40.65%, which is evidence of the company’s strong performance.

The impact of US government policy on MercadoLibre Inc.’s products or services

American government policies have an indirect impact on MercadoLibre, as the company operates in Latin America but is listed in the US. Trump’s administration’s threat of a 50% import tariff on Brazil caused the stock to drop, including political instability and currency risk. However, since MELI has minimal exposure to the US due to American import tariffs, it could benefit.

Amazon and MELI benefit from Mexico import duties as the USMCA deal provides exemptions for imports under $50. CEO Marcos Galperin says the trade war is an opportunity for Latin America. However, proposed duties could cut index earnings by 2-3%, and political changes might encourage state-owned players. Overall, policies affect the company’s e-commerce and logistics services, but the Latin American focus provides protection.

MELI Stock Price Forecast 2026 to 2030:

There are various predictions about the future price of MELI stock, based on the company’s growth potential. By 2026, some forecasts suggest the stock could reach $1,917.36, while other sources believe it might go up to $1,931.35. However, one forecast predicts a drop to $1,825.65 by January 2026, which would be a fall of -8.61% from the current price.

By 2029, the price is expected to rise to between $4,638.43 and $4,916.97. For 2030, the average price could be $2,680.39, with a high of $3,007.77 and a low of $2,353.00. Other optimistic estimates suggest it could go as high as $4,033.93 to $7,391.42. These forecasts are based on the company’s expansion in the e-commerce and fintech sectors, but they could change due to market volatility and political risks.

American stock market analysts’ predictions for MELI stock price from 2026 to 2030

American analysts are generally optimistic about MELI stock. According to 18 analysts, the stock has a ‘Strong Buy’ rating and the average target price is $2,874, which shows a 43.87% increase from the current price. Another source states that the average target is $2,793.64, with a high of $2,950 and a low of $2,500. By 2026, the stock could reach $1,825.65, while for 2030 it is expected to start from $2,697.97 and rise.

According to analysts’ expectations, assuming EPS growth and a 20% CAGR by 2027, the stock could reach $5,000. By 2030, based on estimated earnings of 12x, the stock looks attractive. Overall, 23 out of 26 analysts recommend a “Buy”.

This article is based on market changes and is not investment advice. Get professional advice before investing.